Green Bay Packers are 4-4 in the first nine games. This is the worst start for a Mike McCarthy-led team since 2009. Green Bay is squarely out of the playoffs in the NFC logjam. This season isn’t over by any means though. Three teams last year started 3-5 and made the playoffs. Two teams were 4-4 and got in. It’s fair to say something like that will happen again. Let’s see what Green Bay’s odds are for the remainder of the season and where the numbers come out by the end of the year.

11/13 at Tennessee – Green Bay heads to Music City in what should be a crowd dominated by Packers fans. DeMarco Murray is a tough customer and Green Bay struggled with quarterbacks like Marcus Mariota. This team isn’t a slouch. Win chances: 65%

11/20 at Washington- Primetime game for Packers-Skins. Washington has been notoriously bad on primetime. 5-20 to be exact. When the lights are the brightest, it doesn’t always work for Washington. That being said, Kirk Cousins could dice this defense, and they have enough playmakers on defense to make it difficult. Win chances: 50%

11/28 at Philadelphia – Third game on the road trip, and it’s another primetime game. This time on Monday Night. Many questions about Philly starting to hit the downside of their season. Carson Wentz looked very normal in the last few games. This still will be a real tough one for Green Bay. Win chances: 50%

12/4 vs. Houston – Green Bay returns home to face Houston and Brock Osweiler. Who knows where they’ll be on the season, but let’s hope there are healthy corners to cover DeAndre Hopkins. Win chances: 85%

12/11 vs. Seattle – This could decide a great deal of things for the season. Seahawks looked much better on Monday night, but still cannot run the football. Seahawks should be healthy by this point which makes this one even more scary. Win chances: 40%

12/18 at Chicago – Unless something magical happens, Chicago will be playing for a draft position. Win Chances: 80%

12/24 vs. Minnesota -Revenge will be on the minds of Packers players and fans. Mike Zimmer had Aaron Rodgers’ number in the past, but are we sure Minnesota will be even fighting for a playoff spot at this point? Win Chances: 70%

1/1 at Detroit – The return of the Hail Mary. Could this be for the division? Could it be for Lions to get in the playoffs? Green Bay handled their business at home, but Ford Field is a different animal. Win Chances: 55%

At worst, there are three very loseable games on the schedule with Seattle, Philadelphia and Washington. If Green Bay can flip one of those, they are 10-6 and probably in the playoffs. If they drop all three, it might be a bit dicey for Packers. There are no room for errors and it starts this weekend against Tennessee